Baghdad FC vs Al Najaf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
27.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
BAG
1 - 2
ALS
56%
26%
17%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
ALS
2 - 1
BAG
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
BAG
1 - 0
HUD
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
BAG
2 - 0
ARB
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
DIW
1 - 1
BAG
40%
31%
29%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Al Najaf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALS
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
ALN
3 - 3
ALZ
20%
25%
56%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ALN
0 - 1
HUD
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
ARB
0 - 0
ALN
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
ALN
1 - 1
DIW
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |