Baghdad FC vs Al Naft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
37%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
WAS
0 - 2
BAG
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 2
BAG
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BAG
0 - 2
ALQ
27%
29%
43%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BAG
1 - 1
ALK
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
QAS
2 - 0
BAG
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Al Naft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 0
ALN
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALZ
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
NAB
1 - 0
ALN
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ALN
0 - 0
DUH
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ALQ
2 - 0
ALN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |