Baeza CF vs Vilches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
BAE
1 - 2
CDT
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 0
BAE
35%
23%
43%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
BAE
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BAE
4 - 0
IDJ
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CDA
0 - 5
BAE
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDH
1 - 0
VIL
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 3
CDV
38%
22%
40%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDT
4 - 1
VIL
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAN
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
IDJ
4 - 3
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |