Baeza CF vs Urgavona CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDA
0 - 2
BAE
19%
21%
61%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BAE
1 - 0
CDT
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ICF
1 - 1
BAE
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BAE
2 - 1
LAG
61%
20%
20%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BAE
0 - 2
NAV
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Urgavona CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
URG
2 - 1
VIL
24%
23%
53%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
URG
59%
20%
21%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
URG
0 - 3
BAI
35%
23%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 1
URG
62%
19%
18%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
URG
2 - 1
IBR
46%
23%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |