Baeza CF vs Atlético Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BEG
2 - 0
BAE
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BAE
3 - 1
CDR
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BAE
3 - 2
CAZ
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDH
2 - 2
BAE
34%
23%
44%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 1
BAE
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
VIL
61%
19%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 4
ATL
23%
22%
56%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 2
ATL
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 2
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
IDJ
0 - 0
ATL
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |