Baeza CF vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
URG
1 - 3
BAE
16%
20%
65%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BAE
2 - 0
CDA
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CDT
2 - 3
BAE
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BAE
3 - 1
ICF
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
2 - 1
BAE
21%
22%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ARE
3 - 0
COI
39%
26%
35%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
CDL
2 - 2
ARE
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ARE
4 - 2
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CDC
1 - 1
ARE
43%
25%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARE
0 - 3
BER
34%
25%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |