Baden vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
LAU
2 - 0
BAD
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
BAD
1 - 3
BAS
27%
26%
46%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
NEX
8 - 0
BAD
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
BAD
0 - 5
FCW
38%
30%
33%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
FCL
3 - 0
BAD
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
SER
1 - 2
ZUR
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
ZUR
2 - 3
LAU
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
FCG
1 - 8
ZUR
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
ZUR
2 - 2
GCZ
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
NEX
9 - 1
ZUR
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |