Baden vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HON
1 - 4
BAD
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BAD
2 - 1
STG
36%
23%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FCG
2 - 2
BAD
38%
22%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
KOS
1 - 2
BAD
60%
20%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BAD
3 - 1
RSZ
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
WIN
5 - 1
KOS
38%
22%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
WIN
4 - 0
UZU
69%
17%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
FCT
2 - 0
WIN
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 1
MEN
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 4
LIN
35%
24%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |