Baden vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
BAD
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
FCV
5 - 2
BAD
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCV
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
BAD
1 - 0
FCL
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
FCL
2 - 1
BAD
55%
23%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
WIL
5 - 2
WOH
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
THU
2 - 0
WIL
58%
22%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 0
NEX
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
FCA
4 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 1
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |