Baden vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DIE
2 - 4
BAD
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 1
ESC
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FCM
2 - 0
BAD
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SEU
3 - 3
BAD
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 0
BAD
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TAV
3 - 6
FCG
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 0
TAV
61%
21%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TAV
1 - 0
FCT
29%
24%
46%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 1
TAV
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
TAV
0 - 5
GRA
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -2 |