Baden vs Stade Nyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
10º
43
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 1
SCH
26%
24%
51%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 1
BAD
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 1
BEL
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 2
FCA
17%
21%
62%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 1
BAD
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
NEX
54%
23%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FCA
5 - 2
STA
54%
23%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
STA
0 - 3
SCH
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
THU
4 - 1
STA
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
BUL
79%
13%
8%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |