Baden vs Schotz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 4
BAD
19%
22%
58%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BAD
2 - 0
FCG
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SEN
0 - 4
BAD
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAD
3 - 0
BLA
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 1
MUN
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 3
MUN
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
WAN
0 - 5
SCH
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
5 - 1
MUT
48%
22%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SOL
5 - 0
SCH
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 0
DOR
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |