Baden vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 0
WAN
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
THU
1 - 2
BAD
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 2
BAD
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 0
ETO
35%
25%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
ETO
1 - 0
BAD
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 1
OLD
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
OLD
2 - 0
SOL
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ZOF
2 - 3
OLD
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
OLD
5 - 0
BUM
68%
18%
13%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 1
OLD
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |