Baden vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
10º
49
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
BAD
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 1
BAD
64%
22%
15%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 5
THU
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
6 - 0
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
NEX
4 - 0
STA
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCV
31%
25%
45%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 2
NEX
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 2
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEX
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |