Baden vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
5 - 0
BAD
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
BAD
2 - 2
LAU
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
ZUR
8 - 0
BAD
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
BAD
0 - 2
YOB
30%
28%
43%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1986 |
BAD
2 - 3
VEV
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
STG
2 - 1
NEX
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEX
35%
25%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
NEX
0 - 1
SER
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCW
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |