Baden vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 1
BAD
19%
22%
58%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAD
3 - 1
DOR
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ZOF
3 - 4
BAD
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BAD
3 - 0
LUZ
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
BAD
2 - 1
FCK
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MUT
4 - 1
MUN
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WAN
4 - 0
MUT
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MUT
0 - 1
BLA
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MUT
1 - 0
SOL
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MUT
1 - 5
YOB
7%
15%
78%
|
25 | 81 | 56 | 0 |