Baden vs Munsingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HER
2 - 3
BAD
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 3
BAD
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
0 - 0
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 2
BAD
19%
22%
58%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
BAD
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Munsingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 1
BAS
5%
13%
82%
|
40 | 84 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 0
CON
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
BLA
2 - 2
MUN
54%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 4
THU
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ZOF
0 - 1
MUN
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |