Baden vs Meyrin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
LAU
3 - 1
BAD
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
BAD
0 - 1
SIO
17%
24%
59%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BAD
0 - 3
LAC
28%
26%
47%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAD
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
WIN
3 - 1
BAD
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Meyrin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
MEY
1 - 4
YFJ
35%
25%
41%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 0
MEY
70%
20%
11%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 1
MEY
86%
11%
4%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
MEY
2 - 3
FCV
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MEY
2 - 3
LOC
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |