Baden vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SEU
3 - 0
BAD
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAD
2 - 0
UZU
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 2
BAD
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BAD
4 - 0
FCW
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAD
3 - 1
FCG
55%
22%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MEN
0 - 1
FCT
57%
25%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
KOS
1 - 1
MEN
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DIE
0 - 2
MEN
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LOC
1 - 1
MEN
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MEN
3 - 0
ESC
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |