Baden vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 1
LUG
16%
23%
61%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
BAD
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
BAD
2 - 3
SIO
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BUL
2 - 0
BAD
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
BAD
2 - 2
WIL
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BUL
3 - 5
FCL
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
FCL
2 - 1
WOH
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BEL
3 - 2
FCL
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
FCL
6 - 0
BAU
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
KRI
3 - 0
FCL
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |