Baden vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
56.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ZUG
5 - 1
BAD
31%
24%
46%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BAD
2 - 2
FCS
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SOL
1 - 0
BAD
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAD
3 - 3
THU
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 3
BAD
54%
22%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
FCM
1 - 1
LUZ
8%
14%
78%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LUZ
3 - 4
ZUG
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 3
LUZ
10%
16%
74%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 2
SOL
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
LUZ
7 - 1
BAS
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |