Baden vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CHI
3 - 0
BAD
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 2
FCL
25%
24%
52%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
FCV
4 - 0
BAD
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 2
LAU
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
SIO
1 - 0
BAD
71%
19%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
LOC
1 - 1
FCV
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
LOC
1 - 4
FCL
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
LAU
2 - 1
LOC
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LOC
0 - 2
SIO
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WIN
1 - 1
LOC
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |