Baden vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 0
FCM
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
3 - 3
BAD
78%
14%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAD
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 0
YVE
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 3
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
LOC
3 - 0
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
FCM
5 - 2
LOC
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
LOC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
LOC
1 - 0
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
YVE
1 - 1
LOC
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |