Baden vs Kosova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 1
BAD
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAD
4 - 0
DIE
72%
16%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LOC
2 - 2
BAD
62%
20%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAD
4 - 2
ESC
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MEN
3 - 0
BAD
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kosova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
KOS
1 - 1
FCT
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FCB
0 - 4
KOS
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 3
KOS
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
KOS
1 - 1
DIE
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
KOS
1 - 4
LOC
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |