Baden vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
10º
49
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
THU
3 - 1
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 3
STA
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 1
SCH
26%
24%
51%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 1
BAD
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 1
BEL
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 2
SCH
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCV
26%
25%
50%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 2
SIO
22%
24%
55%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCV
35%
25%
41%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FCV
5 - 3
NEX
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |