Baden vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
10%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NEX
0 - 0
BAD
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 1
LUZ
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
WAN
0 - 1
BAD
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 1
MUN
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HER
2 - 3
BAD
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 3
CON
22%
22%
57%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BLA
3 - 0
FCS
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FCS
4 - 0
THU
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ZOF
0 - 0
FCS
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FCS
4 - 3
FCG
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |