Baden vs Serrieres Neuchatel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 1
BAD
31%
24%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 3
BAD
27%
26%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
BAD
4 - 1
WAN
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCD
0 - 5
BAD
10%
18%
73%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MUT
0 - 1
BAD
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Serrieres Neuchatel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 0
MUN
30%
26%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WAN
1 - 1
SEN
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
SEN
2 - 1
MUT
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 2
SEN
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SEN
2 - 0
DOR
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |