Baden vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1986 |
FCG
1 - 1
BAD
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCL
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
FCW
2 - 1
BAD
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
BAD
0 - 2
NEX
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
5 - 0
BAD
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1986 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCA
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
FCA
4 - 0
FCW
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAS
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
FCA
6 - 2
FCG
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |