Baden vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BLA
4 - 2
BAD
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
BAD
4 - 0
THU
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 4
ZUR
8%
14%
78%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 2
ZOF
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FCG
2 - 0
BAD
25%
24%
52%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
GRA
78%
13%
8%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
BLA
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
THU
80%
12%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ZOF
0 - 2
CON
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
FCG
74%
15%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |