Baden vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 0
BAD
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BAD
1 - 0
FCV
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
BAD
3 - 2
MEY
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
LAU
3 - 1
BAD
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
BAD
0 - 1
SIO
17%
24%
59%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 0
SIO
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
WIN
2 - 1
CHI
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 0
MEY
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
CHI
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |