Baden vs Bulle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
BAD
0 - 1
BEL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 0
BAD
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
BAD
2 - 0
CON
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
YVE
3 - 1
BAD
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
BAD
2 - 1
WIN
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bulle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
BUL
0 - 1
FCV
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
FCV
1 - 2
BUL
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
BUL
1 - 5
LAU
18%
21%
61%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 1993 |
FCL
0 - 1
BUL
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1993 |
BUL
3 - 1
LOC
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |