Baden vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
75.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MEN
1 - 4
BAD
25%
24%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 0
EMM
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TUG
0 - 2
BAD
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 2
LUG
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 2
BAD
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 0
YOB
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
YOB
42%
24%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
YOB
3 - 1
SIO
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 2
YOB
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
YOB
4 - 2
BEL
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |