Baden vs Biel-Bienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
MUT
0 - 7
BAD
19%
20%
61%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
BUO
1 - 2
BAD
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BAD
4 - 1
MUT
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
DEL
1 - 2
BAD
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BAD
3 - 1
LAN
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BAV
0 - 1
BIE
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
DIE
1 - 2
BIE
15%
18%
68%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 3
BIE
27%
22%
51%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 2
BIE
17%
20%
63%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BIE
4 - 1
ZUG
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |