Baden vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
NEX
8 - 0
BAD
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
BAD
0 - 5
FCW
38%
30%
33%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
FCL
3 - 0
BAD
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
BAD
1 - 6
FCG
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
FCA
4 - 0
BAD
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCA
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
ZUR
1 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
LAU
2 - 2
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |