Baden vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAD
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
LAU
1 - 2
BAD
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
BAD
1 - 2
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BAD
2 - 0
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
BAD
3 - 4
SCH
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BEL
2 - 3
CON
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
YVE
1 - 0
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 2
KRI
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 6
GCZ
16%
20%
65%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
LUG
3 - 1
BEL
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |