Baden vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1992 |
YVE
3 - 1
BAD
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
BAD
2 - 1
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
FCM
2 - 2
BAD
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1992 |
LOC
0 - 0
BAD
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 0
LOC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 1
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
YVE
2 - 1
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCA
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 1
BEL
66%
20%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |