Badalona vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
11.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
BAD
5 - 1
ARO
90%
7%
4%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BAD
4 - 2
RCF
52%
19%
29%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
BAD
2 - 3
RAC
50%
21%
29%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 0
BAD
39%
20%
41%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
BAD
2 - 1
SPO
41%
23%
36%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
LLE
9 - 2
SGL
56%
20%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SDE
4 - 1
LLE
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
LLE
1 - 0
BAR
38%
22%
40%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
GIR
0 - 2
LLE
79%
13%
9%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
LLE
3 - 0
ARO
74%
14%
12%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |