Badalona vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13%
12.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
3-7
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
BAD
5 - 3
ORE
73%
15%
13%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
GIM
4 - 1
BAD
50%
20%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
BAD
2 - 4
ZAR
60%
18%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
LLE
6 - 4
BAD
51%
20%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
BAD
0 - 3
MLL
60%
18%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
3 - 2
ARO
76%
13%
11%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
ORE
1 - 1
SGL
65%
17%
18%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
5 - 0
RCF
35%
21%
44%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
3 - 4
RCF
37%
21%
42%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
GIM
4 - 1
SGL
61%
18%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |