Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-5
Badalona vs Sestao Sport Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
BAD
5 - 2
RAC
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
LEV
3 - 1
BAD
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
SSC
4 - 1
BAD
50%
23%
28%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
BAD
1 - 0
TOR
78%
14%
7%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAD
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sestao Sport Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
BAS
2 - 1
SSC
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
SSC
1 - 0
CDO
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
SSC
4 - 1
BAD
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
CAU
0 - 1
SSC
29%
28%
43%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
SSC
0 - 2
ATH
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |