Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Badalona vs L´Hospitalet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAD
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAD
4 - 2
SCR
55%
26%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
BAD
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 0
MAF
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
L´Hospitalet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
HOS
2 - 1
PRA
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PRA
0 - 1
HOS
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HOS
2 - 0
MAF
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
HOS
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
HOS
4 - 0
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |