Badalona vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
BAD
1 - 0
HOS
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
OVI
4 - 0
BAD
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
BAD
1 - 0
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
RAC
0 - 1
BAD
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
BAD
3 - 1
SDI
55%
22%
22%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
HER
0 - 0
VAL
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
CAD
2 - 2
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
CDT
1 - 0
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
HER
3 - 0
CDB
86%
10%
5%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
MUR
1 - 2
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |