Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
CD Badajoz vs Galáctico Pegaso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
CDB
1 - 1
FCB
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
SFE
0 - 2
CDB
61%
24%
15%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
PEG
3 - 0
CDB
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
CDB
2 - 0
POR
59%
26%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
XER
2 - 1
CDB
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
PEG
3 - 2
DAI
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
MEX
2 - 0
PEG
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
PEG
3 - 0
CDB
42%
27%
31%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +4 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
PEG
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
ADP
0 - 4
PEG
51%
25%
25%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |