CD Badajoz vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
EXT
1 - 1
CDB
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CDB
1 - 2
CPC
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PPJ
4 - 1
CDB
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CDB
2 - 1
COR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SEV
4 - 2
CDB
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 3
LAN
26%
29%
46%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ULP
1 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 1
BET
30%
28%
42%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ECI
5 - 1
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 1
MAR
26%
27%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |