Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
CD Badajoz vs Valdepeñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
ONT
3 - 0
CDB
53%
27%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CDB
2 - 0
XER
50%
28%
23%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
SFE
2 - 1
CDB
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CDB
3 - 1
POR
65%
23%
12%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
GIR
3 - 2
CDB
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDB
39%
27%
33%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CDB
1 - 0
CPC
42%
32%
26%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
VIL
3 - 1
CDB
58%
24%
18%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CDB
0 - 3
ALC
64%
22%
14%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
LEG
2 - 0
CDB
59%
24%
17%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |