Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-3
CD Badajoz vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ONT
0 - 0
CDB
59%
25%
16%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CDB
3 - 2
VIN
52%
28%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
CDT
2 - 0
CDB
28%
23%
50%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MLL
1 - 2
CDB
73%
19%
9%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CDB
1 - 0
POR
60%
26%
14%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
CDT
2 - 1
ARG
80%
12%
8%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
GUA
0 - 0
CDT
65%
20%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
CDT
2 - 0
CDB
28%
23%
50%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +5 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
LEG
2 - 1
CDT
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CDT
0 - 0
COL
40%
26%
35%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |