CD Badajoz vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CDL
1 - 1
CDB
38%
30%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
CDB
0 - 0
CCF
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SEV
1 - 0
CDB
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
CDB
1 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 0
CDB
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 0
TAL
36%
29%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ALG
1 - 0
ALC
53%
26%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 1
BAZ
40%
28%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
RJA
3 - 0
ALC
55%
26%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 1
VVA
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |