Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
CD Badajoz vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
CDB
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 0
PUE
71%
18%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CDZ
0 - 4
CDB
10%
19%
71%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 1
ASJ
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
CDB
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
CDB
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 0
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CHO
4 - 0
BOU
45%
24%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 2
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RIB
0 - 1
CHO
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |