Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 0-4
CD Badajoz vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 0
UCL
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 2
CDB
13%
20%
68%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CDB
4 - 0
PUE
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
CDB
4 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
CDB
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 2
CIE
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 0
UCA
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
ORI
52%
22%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
LOR
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 0
MUL
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |