Bad Schallerbach vs Ostermiething analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
45
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Schallerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STM
3 - 0
BAD
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 0
SBL
72%
15%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 2
BAD
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 3
GRU
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 1
SPG
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
OST
0 - 3
SPG
74%
15%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
OED
9 - 0
OST
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
OST
3 - 1
WEL
76%
14%
11%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
WEA
1 - 1
OST
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
OST
1 - 1
PWD
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |