Bad Sauerbrunn vs Ritzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
58.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
7º
0
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 2
BAS
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
DEU
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
BAS
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
STM
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 2
BAS
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ritzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RIT
1 - 1
HOR
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 1
RIT
36%
22%
43%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RIT
4 - 1
LEI
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
KLI
0 - 3
RIT
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
RIT
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |